Rank predictions 番付予想

Kyushu Basho forecast

Where each wrestler lands on the next banzuke if the basho ended today. Updates as results come in.

LIVEDay 6of 15
Last time

Our Aki Basho forecast got the direction right for 65 of 68 wrestlers and the exact rank for 59%.

Report card
Largest move Kitanowaka

Maegashira 15 West → Juryo 1 West. Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts.

Knife edge Aonishiki

Ozeki 1 East → Ozeki 2 East. Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts.

Boundary watch Tokihayate

Maegashira 14 East → Maegashira 15 East. Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts.

Forecast for every wrestler

Makuuchi Top division

Ozeki 1 East Aonishiki 32 ↓Ozeki 2 East Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Ozeki 2 East
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Ozeki 2 East.

Wrestler profile
Ozeki 1 West Kotozakura 41 →Ozeki 1 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Ozeki 1 East
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Ozeki 1 East.

Wrestler profile
Ozeki 2 East Kirishima 41 ↑Ozeki 1 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Ozeki 1 West
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Ozeki 1 West.

Wrestler profile
Sekiwake 1 East Fujinokawa 14 ↓Komusubi 1 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Komusubi 1 East
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Komusubi 1 East.

Wrestler profile
Sekiwake 1 West Atamifuji 50 →Sekiwake 1 East Needs 3 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest5-10Losing record
Today5-0Sekiwake 1 East
Wins the rest15-0Winning record

The 5-0 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Sekiwake 1 East.

Wrestler profile
Komusubi 1 East Churanoumi 14 ↓Maegashira 1 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Maegashira 1 East
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 1 East.

Wrestler profile
Komusubi 1 West Yoshinofuji 32 ↑Sekiwake 1 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Sekiwake 1 West
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Sekiwake 1 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 1 East Asanoyama 14 ↓Maegashira 4 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Maegashira 4 East
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 4 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 1 West Fujiryoga 41 ↑Komusubi 1 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Komusubi 1 West
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Komusubi 1 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 2 East Ura 14 ↓Maegashira 6 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Maegashira 6 East
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 6 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 2 West Fujiseiun 23 ↑Maegashira 1 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest2-13Losing record
Today2-3Maegashira 1 West
Wins the rest12-3Winning record

The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 1 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 3 East Takayasu 14 ↓Maegashira 7 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Maegashira 7 East
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 7 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 3 West Hakunofuji 23 →Maegashira 3 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest2-13Losing record
Today2-3Maegashira 3 West
Wins the rest12-3Winning record

The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 3 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 4 East Takerufuji 23 ↓Maegashira 5 East Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest2-13Losing record
Today2-3Maegashira 5 East
Wins the rest12-3Winning record

The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 5 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 4 West Daieisho 23 ↓Maegashira 5 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest2-13Losing record
Today2-3Maegashira 5 West
Wins the rest12-3Winning record

The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 5 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 5 East Hiradoumi 14 ↓Maegashira 9 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Maegashira 9 East
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 9 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 5 West Gonoyama 32 ↑Maegashira 3 East Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Maegashira 3 East
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 3 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 6 East Kotoshoho 32 ↑Maegashira 4 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Maegashira 4 West
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 4 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 6 West Kotoeiho 122 ↓Maegashira 10 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-12-2Losing record
Today1-2-2Maegashira 10 West
Wins the rest11-2-2Winning record

The 1-2-2 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 10 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 7 East Wakamotoharu 41 ↑Maegashira 2 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Maegashira 2 East
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 2 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 7 West Kinbozan 41 ↑Maegashira 2 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Maegashira 2 West
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 2 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 8 East Roga 23 ↓Maegashira 10 East Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest2-13Losing record
Today2-3Maegashira 10 East
Wins the rest12-3Winning record

The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 10 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 8 West Nishikifuji 32 ↑Maegashira 7 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Maegashira 7 West
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 7 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 9 East Oshoma 41 ↑Maegashira 6 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Maegashira 6 West
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 6 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 9 West Asakoryu 14 ↓Maegashira 12 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Maegashira 12 East
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 12 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 10 East Shishi 05 ↓Maegashira 14 East Needs 8 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest0-15Losing record
Today0-5Maegashira 14 East
Wins the rest10-5Winning record

The 0-5 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 14 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 10 West Oho 32 ↑Maegashira 9 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Maegashira 9 West
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 9 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 11 East Takanosho 41 ↑Maegashira 8 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Maegashira 8 East
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 8 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 11 West Asahakuryu 41 ↑Maegashira 8 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Maegashira 8 West
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 8 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 12 East Ichiyamamoto 32 ↑Maegashira 11 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Maegashira 11 West
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 11 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 12 West Abi 14 ↓Maegashira 15 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Maegashira 15 West
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 15 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 13 East Toshinofuji 14 ↓Maegashira 16 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Maegashira 16 East
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 16 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 13 West Asasuiryu 23 →Maegashira 13 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest2-13Losing record
Today2-3Maegashira 13 West
Wins the rest12-3Winning record

The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 13 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 14 East Tokihayate 23 ↓Maegashira 15 East Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest2-13Losing record
Today2-3Maegashira 15 East
Wins the rest12-3Winning record

The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 15 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 14 West Dewanoryu 41 ↑Maegashira 11 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Maegashira 11 East
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 11 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 15 East Tamawashi 32 ↑Maegashira 13 East Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Maegashira 13 East
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 13 East.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 15 West Kitanowaka 14 ↓Juryo 1 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Juryo 1 West
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Juryo 1 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 16 East Arashifuji 41 ↑Maegashira 12 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Maegashira 12 West
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 12 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 16 West Kyokukaiyu 32 ↑Maegashira 14 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Maegashira 14 West
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 14 West.

Wrestler profile
Maegashira 17 East Daiseizan 14 ↓Juryo 2 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Juryo 2 West
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Juryo 2 West.

Wrestler profile

Juryo Second division

Juryo 1 East Chiyoshoma 14 ↓Juryo 3 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Juryo 3 West
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 3 West.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 1 West Onokatsu 14 ↓Juryo 4 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Juryo 4 East
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 4 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 2 East Kazekeno 41 ↑Maegashira 16 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Maegashira 16 West
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Maegashira 16 West.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 2 West Tobizaru 41 ↑Maegashira 17 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Maegashira 17 East
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Maegashira 17 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 3 East Kagayaki 41 ↑Juryo 1 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Juryo 1 East
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 1 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 3 West Shodai 14 ↓Juryo 6 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Juryo 6 East
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 6 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 4 East Kazuma 14 ↓Juryo 7 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Juryo 7 West
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 7 West.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 4 West Kayo 32 ↑Juryo 3 East Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Juryo 3 East
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 3 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 5 East Ryuden 23 →Juryo 5 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest2-13Losing record
Today2-3Juryo 5 West
Wins the rest12-3Winning record

The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 5 West.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 5 West Wakatakakage 50 ↑Juryo 2 East Needs 3 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest5-10Losing record
Today5-0Juryo 2 East
Wins the rest15-0Winning record

The 5-0 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 2 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 6 East Shonannoumi 23 ↓Juryo 7 East Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest2-13Losing record
Today2-3Juryo 7 East
Wins the rest12-3Winning record

The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 7 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 6 West Nabatame 32 ↑Juryo 4 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Juryo 4 West
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 4 West.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 7 East Tanji 32 ↑Juryo 5 East Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Juryo 5 East
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 5 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 7 West Hitoshi 122 ↓Juryo 10 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-12-2Losing record
Today1-2-2Juryo 10 East
Wins the rest11-2-2Winning record

The 1-2-2 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 10 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 8 East Midorifuji 23 ↓Juryo 9 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest2-13Losing record
Today2-3Juryo 9 West
Wins the rest12-3Winning record

The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 9 West.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 8 West Tohakuryu 14 ↓Juryo 11 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Juryo 11 West
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 11 West.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 9 East Mitakeumi 32 ↑Juryo 8 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Juryo 8 West
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 8 West.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 9 West Shirokuma 014 ↓Juryo 13 West Needs 8 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest0-11-4Losing record
Today0-1-4Juryo 13 West
Wins the rest10-1-4Winning record

The 0-1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 13 West.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 10 East Enho 41 ↑Juryo 6 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Juryo 6 West
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 6 West.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 10 West Wakanosho 23 ↓Juryo 11 East Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest2-13Losing record
Today2-3Juryo 11 East
Wins the rest12-3Winning record

The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 11 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 11 East Tomokaze 14 ↓Juryo 14 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest1-14Losing record
Today1-4Juryo 14 West
Wins the rest11-4Winning record

The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 14 West.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 11 West Sadanoumi 23 ↓Juryo 12 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest2-13Losing record
Today2-3Juryo 12 West
Wins the rest12-3Winning record

The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 12 West.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 12 East Asahifuji 41 ↑Juryo 9 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Juryo 9 East
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 9 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 12 West Tamashoho 50 ↑Juryo 8 East Needs 3 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest5-10Losing record
Today5-0Juryo 8 East
Wins the rest15-0Winning record

The 5-0 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 8 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 13 East Meisei 23 ↓Juryo 14 East Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest2-13Losing record
Today2-3Juryo 14 East
Wins the rest12-3Winning record

The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 14 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 13 West Tokifudo 32 ↑Juryo 12 East Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest3-12Losing record
Today3-2Juryo 12 East
Wins the rest13-2Winning record

The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 12 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 14 East Hatsuyama 05 ↓Makushita 4 East Needs 8 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest0-15Losing record
Today0-5Makushita 4 East
Wins the rest10-5Winning record

The 0-5 record creates demotion pressure. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Makushita 4 East.

Wrestler profile
Juryo 14 West Ryuho 41 ↑Juryo 10 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
Loses the rest4-11Losing record
Today4-1Juryo 10 West
Wins the rest14-1Winning record

The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 10 West.

Wrestler profile

How the forecast works

Grand sumo has no points table. After each tournament the Japan Sumo Association's ranking committee rebuilds the banzuke from every result, so a forecast is a comparison of cases, not a formula.

  • Record. A winning record (8+ wins) usually moves a wrestler up, a losing record down. The margin matters: 8-7 and 12-3 are not equal cases.
  • Starting point. The same score moves a wrestler further from near the bottom of a division than from near the top.
  • Available places. Every rank has limited room. A strong Juryo record needs someone in Makuuchi to drop out before it can go up.
  • Named ranks. Sanyaku have extra rules. Yokozuna cannot be demoted, Ozeki get a kadoban warning first, and Yokozuna promotion is a separate decision, so we do not forecast Yokozuna.

How the model works. Each wrestler gets a claim from his rank, record, absences, and kadoban or promotion runs. One allocator then fills a complete banzuke with fixed division sizes and unique East and West slots. After each basho the final forecast is frozen, then graded against the real banzuke on this page.

Full banzuke guide