Maegashira 15 West → Juryo 1 West. Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts.
Kyushu Basho forecast
Where each wrestler lands on the next banzuke if the basho ended today. Updates as results come in.
Our Aki Basho forecast got the direction right for 65 of 68 wrestlers and the exact rank for 59%.
Report cardOzeki 1 East → Ozeki 2 East. Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts.
Maegashira 14 East → Maegashira 15 East. Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts.
Forecast for every wrestler
Makuuchi Top division
Ozeki 1 East Aonishiki 32 ↓Ozeki 2 East Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Ozeki 2 East.
Wrestler profileOzeki 1 West Kotozakura 41 →Ozeki 1 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Ozeki 1 East.
Wrestler profileOzeki 2 East Kirishima 41 ↑Ozeki 1 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Ozeki 1 West.
Wrestler profileSekiwake 1 East Fujinokawa 14 ↓Komusubi 1 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Komusubi 1 East.
Wrestler profileSekiwake 1 West Atamifuji 50 →Sekiwake 1 East Needs 3 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 5-0 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Sekiwake 1 East.
Wrestler profileKomusubi 1 East Churanoumi 14 ↓Maegashira 1 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 1 East.
Wrestler profileKomusubi 1 West Yoshinofuji 32 ↑Sekiwake 1 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Sekiwake 1 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 1 East Asanoyama 14 ↓Maegashira 4 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 4 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 1 West Fujiryoga 41 ↑Komusubi 1 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Komusubi 1 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 2 East Ura 14 ↓Maegashira 6 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 6 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 2 West Fujiseiun 23 ↑Maegashira 1 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 1 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 3 East Takayasu 14 ↓Maegashira 7 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 7 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 3 West Hakunofuji 23 →Maegashira 3 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 3 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 4 East Takerufuji 23 ↓Maegashira 5 East Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 5 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 4 West Daieisho 23 ↓Maegashira 5 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 5 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 5 East Hiradoumi 14 ↓Maegashira 9 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 9 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 5 West Gonoyama 32 ↑Maegashira 3 East Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 3 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 6 East Kotoshoho 32 ↑Maegashira 4 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 4 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 6 West Kotoeiho 122 ↓Maegashira 10 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-2-2 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 10 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 7 East Wakamotoharu 41 ↑Maegashira 2 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 2 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 7 West Kinbozan 41 ↑Maegashira 2 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 2 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 8 East Roga 23 ↓Maegashira 10 East Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 10 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 8 West Nishikifuji 32 ↑Maegashira 7 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 7 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 9 East Oshoma 41 ↑Maegashira 6 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 6 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 9 West Asakoryu 14 ↓Maegashira 12 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 12 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 10 East Shishi 05 ↓Maegashira 14 East Needs 8 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 0-5 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 14 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 10 West Oho 32 ↑Maegashira 9 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 9 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 11 East Takanosho 41 ↑Maegashira 8 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 8 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 11 West Asahakuryu 41 ↑Maegashira 8 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 8 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 12 East Ichiyamamoto 32 ↑Maegashira 11 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 11 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 12 West Abi 14 ↓Maegashira 15 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 15 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 13 East Toshinofuji 14 ↓Maegashira 16 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 16 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 13 West Asasuiryu 23 →Maegashira 13 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 13 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 14 East Tokihayate 23 ↓Maegashira 15 East Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 15 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 14 West Dewanoryu 41 ↑Maegashira 11 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 11 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 15 East Tamawashi 32 ↑Maegashira 13 East Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 13 East.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 15 West Kitanowaka 14 ↓Juryo 1 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Juryo 1 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 16 East Arashifuji 41 ↑Maegashira 12 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 12 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 16 West Kyokukaiyu 32 ↑Maegashira 14 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 14 West.
Wrestler profileMaegashira 17 East Daiseizan 14 ↓Juryo 2 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Juryo 2 West.
Wrestler profileJuryo Second division
Juryo 1 East Chiyoshoma 14 ↓Juryo 3 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 3 West.
Wrestler profileJuryo 1 West Onokatsu 14 ↓Juryo 4 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 4 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 2 East Kazekeno 41 ↑Maegashira 16 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Maegashira 16 West.
Wrestler profileJuryo 2 West Tobizaru 41 ↑Maegashira 17 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Maegashira 17 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 3 East Kagayaki 41 ↑Juryo 1 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 1 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 3 West Shodai 14 ↓Juryo 6 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 6 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 4 East Kazuma 14 ↓Juryo 7 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 7 West.
Wrestler profileJuryo 4 West Kayo 32 ↑Juryo 3 East Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 3 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 5 East Ryuden 23 →Juryo 5 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 5 West.
Wrestler profileJuryo 5 West Wakatakakage 50 ↑Juryo 2 East Needs 3 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 5-0 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 2 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 6 East Shonannoumi 23 ↓Juryo 7 East Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 7 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 6 West Nabatame 32 ↑Juryo 4 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 4 West.
Wrestler profileJuryo 7 East Tanji 32 ↑Juryo 5 East Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 5 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 7 West Hitoshi 122 ↓Juryo 10 East Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-2-2 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 10 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 8 East Midorifuji 23 ↓Juryo 9 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 9 West.
Wrestler profileJuryo 8 West Tohakuryu 14 ↓Juryo 11 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 11 West.
Wrestler profileJuryo 9 East Mitakeumi 32 ↑Juryo 8 West Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 8 West.
Wrestler profileJuryo 9 West Shirokuma 014 ↓Juryo 13 West Needs 8 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 0-1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 13 West.
Wrestler profileJuryo 10 East Enho 41 ↑Juryo 6 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 6 West.
Wrestler profileJuryo 10 West Wakanosho 23 ↓Juryo 11 East Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 11 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 11 East Tomokaze 14 ↓Juryo 14 West Needs 7 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 1-4 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 14 West.
Wrestler profileJuryo 11 West Sadanoumi 23 ↓Juryo 12 West Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 12 West.
Wrestler profileJuryo 12 East Asahifuji 41 ↑Juryo 9 East Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 9 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 12 West Tamashoho 50 ↑Juryo 8 East Needs 3 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 5-0 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 8 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 13 East Meisei 23 ↓Juryo 14 East Needs 6 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 2-3 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 14 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 13 West Tokifudo 32 ↑Juryo 12 East Needs 5 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 3-2 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 12 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 14 East Hatsuyama 05 ↓Makushita 4 East Needs 8 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 0-5 record creates demotion pressure. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Makushita 4 East.
Wrestler profileJuryo 14 West Ryuho 41 ↑Juryo 10 West Needs 4 wins from 10 remaining bouts
The 4-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 10 West.
Wrestler profileNo wrestlers match that filter.
How the forecast works
Grand sumo has no points table. After each tournament the Japan Sumo Association's ranking committee rebuilds the banzuke from every result, so a forecast is a comparison of cases, not a formula.
- Record. A winning record (8+ wins) usually moves a wrestler up, a losing record down. The margin matters: 8-7 and 12-3 are not equal cases.
- Starting point. The same score moves a wrestler further from near the bottom of a division than from near the top.
- Available places. Every rank has limited room. A strong Juryo record needs someone in Makuuchi to drop out before it can go up.
- Named ranks. Sanyaku have extra rules. Yokozuna cannot be demoted, Ozeki get a kadoban warning first, and Yokozuna promotion is a separate decision, so we do not forecast Yokozuna.
How the model works. Each wrestler gets a claim from his rank, record, absences, and kadoban or promotion runs. One allocator then fills a complete banzuke with fixed division sizes and unique East and West slots. After each basho the final forecast is frozen, then graded against the real banzuke on this page.
Full banzuke guide