Promotion forecast Banzuke · 番付
Final-record forecast
Banzuke Forecast Room
All recorded bouts are complete. This forecast is frozen when the final Makuuchi card finishes.
Nagoya Basho
Pre-basho
Forecasts 68
Live calls 0
Record depth 15/15
The official banzuke is a joint ranking decision. Current calls show direction and range without claiming an unmeasured probability.
Largest move
Biggest projected shift
Mitakeumi
Maegashira 11 West → Juryo 3 East. Make-koshi confirmed.
Knife edge
Closest live call
No live bubble
The forecast will sharpen as results arrive.
Boundary watch
Rank line under pressure
Kinbozan
Maegashira 14 East → Maegashira 11 West. Kachi-koshi secured.
↑ 30 moving up
↓ 32 moving down
↔ 6 holding
際 0 still live
Ranking system How the forecast fits together
How the banzuke moves
A wrestler earns a case with his record. The whole field decides where that case can fit.
Grand sumo has no fixed points table or public promotion formula. After each tournament, the ranking committee rebuilds the banzuke from the full set of results. Four things shape every call: where a wrestler started, how many bouts he won, which higher-ranked places became available, and how his record compares with other wrestlers fighting for those same places.
Read the full banzuke guide →
Higher
Rank order
East is listed before West at the same rank. They are positions, not teams.
横綱 Yokozuna Grand champion
大関 Ozeki Champion
関脇 Sekiwake Junior champion
小結 Komusubi Junior champion second class
前頭 Maegashira 1, 2, 3... Rank-and-file Makuuchi
幕内 Makuuchi line Promotion into the top division
十両 Juryo 1, 2, 3... Second division
Lower Juryo and Makuuchi are the salaried sekitori divisions.
01 · Record
Eight wins is a line, not a destination
A winning record usually moves a wrestler up, while a losing record usually moves him down. The margin matters: 8–7 and 12–3 point the same direction, but they do not make equal cases.
02 · Starting point
The same score can mean a different move
Rank changes are relative. A wrestler near the top of Maegashira is already close to the named ranks. The same record from near the bottom begins from a very different place.
03 · Available places
A promotion needs somewhere to land
Every rank has limited room. A strong Juryo record can be promotion-worthy, but someone in Makuuchi normally has to leave. When several wrestlers claim one place, the committee has to compare them.
04 · Named ranks
The top has extra rules
Sanyaku is not a simple numbered ladder. Yokozuna cannot be demoted. Ozeki have kadoban protection before demotion, and promotion to Yokozuna is a separate formal decision. Sekiwake and Komusubi places can expand when the field demands it.
Boundary example
One result can move three wrestlers
1 A lower Maegashira finishes 4–11 His record creates a strong demotion case.
→
2 A Makuuchi place may open The vacancy changes the pressure at the division line.
→
3 An upper-Juryo claimant can rise The best promotion case now has somewhere to go.
If the demotion case is weak, or the available Juryo cases are weaker, the Makuuchi wrestler may survive. That is why a boundary forecast is a comparison, not a promise.
Rank movement Promotion and demotion races
Who is fighting for the same spots?
A strong record can earn promotion only if there is room to move up. These are the wrestlers competing for the same limited places.
Who could move into or out of Ozeki, Sekiwake, and Komusubi.
KirishimaOzeki 1 East
↑ Yokozuna 1 East
KotozakuraOzeki 1 West
↔ Ozeki 1 West
AtamifujiSekiwake 1 East
↔ Sekiwake 1 East
KotoshohoSekiwake 1 West
↓ Komusubi 1 East
Juryo wrestlers chasing a top-division place and the Makuuchi wrestlers trying to keep one.
KinbozanMaegashira 14 East
↑ Maegashira 11 West
ShishiMaegashira 14 West
↑ Maegashira 10 West
OnokatsuMaegashira 15 East
↓ Juryo 3 West
KazumaMaegashira 15 West
↓ Juryo 2 East
The wrestlers near the bottom of Juryo who could lose salaried status.
KagayakiJuryo 11 East
↑ Juryo 10 East
EnhoJuryo 11 West
↑ Juryo 9 East
TohakuryuJuryo 12 East
↑ Juryo 9 West
KayoJuryo 12 West
↑ Juryo 10 West
The projected hierarchy Current slot → current call
Forecast board
Open any wrestler to see how the remaining record can change the call.
幕
Top division
Makuuchi
40 wrestlers
K
KI
Ozeki 1 East
↑
Yokozuna 1 East
If the basho ended now
Ozeki 1 East
↑
Yokozuna 1 East
The model recognizes a consecutive Ozeki title-equivalent run. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Yokozuna 1 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
12 – 3 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Yokozuna 1 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
K
KO
Ozeki 1 West
↔
Ozeki 1 West
If the basho ended now
Ozeki 1 West
↔
Ozeki 1 West
The 8-7 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Ozeki 1 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
8 – 7 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Ozeki 1 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
A
AT
Sekiwake 1 East
↔
Sekiwake 1 East
If the basho ended now
Sekiwake 1 East
↔
Sekiwake 1 East
The 12-3 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Sekiwake 1 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
12 – 3 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Sekiwake 1 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
K
KO
Sekiwake 1 West
↓
Komusubi 1 East
If the basho ended now
Sekiwake 1 West
↓
Komusubi 1 East
The 6-9 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Komusubi 1 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
6 – 9 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Komusubi 1 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
W
WA
Sekiwake 2 East
↓
Maegashira 10 East
0 – 0 – 15
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Sekiwake 2 East
↓
Maegashira 10 East
The 0-0-15 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 10 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
0 – 0 – 15 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 10 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
A
AO
Sekiwake 2 West
↑
Ozeki 1 East
If the basho ended now
Sekiwake 2 West
↑
Ozeki 1 East
The model recognizes an immediate Ozeki return case. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Ozeki 1 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
12 – 3 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Ozeki 1 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
Y
YO
Komusubi 1 East
↓
Maegashira 1 West
If the basho ended now
Komusubi 1 East
↓
Maegashira 1 West
The 6-9 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 1 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
6 – 9 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 1 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
O
OH
Komusubi 1 West
↓
Maegashira 6 East
2 – 13
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Komusubi 1 West
↓
Maegashira 6 East
The 2-13 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 6 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
2 – 13 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 6 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
F
FU
Maegashira 1 East
↔
Maegashira 1 East
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 1 East
↔
Maegashira 1 East
The 8-7 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 1 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
8 – 7 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 1 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
T
TA
Maegashira 1 West
↓
Maegashira 4 East
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 1 West
↓
Maegashira 4 East
The 6-9 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 4 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
6 – 9 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 4 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
G
GO
Maegashira 2 East
↓
Maegashira 3 East
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 2 East
↓
Maegashira 3 East
The 7-8 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 3 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
7 – 8 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 3 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
C
CH
Maegashira 2 West
↓
Maegashira 3 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 2 West
↓
Maegashira 3 West
The 7-8 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 3 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
7 – 8 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 3 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
H
HI
Maegashira 3 East
↓
Maegashira 9 West
4 – 11
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 3 East
↓
Maegashira 9 West
The 4-11 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 9 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
4 – 11 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 9 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
H
HA
Maegashira 3 West
↑
Komusubi 1 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 3 West
↑
Komusubi 1 West
The 9-6 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Komusubi 1 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
9 – 6 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Komusubi 1 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
D
DA
Maegashira 4 East
↑
Sekiwake 1 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 4 East
↑
Sekiwake 1 West
The 10-5 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Sekiwake 1 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
10 – 5 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Sekiwake 1 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
I
IC
Maegashira 4 West
↓
Maegashira 7 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 4 West
↓
Maegashira 7 West
The 6-9 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 7 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
6 – 9 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 7 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
U
UR
Maegashira 5 East
↓
Maegashira 9 East
5 – 10
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 5 East
↓
Maegashira 9 East
The 5-10 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 9 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
5 – 10 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 9 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
O
OS
Maegashira 5 West
↔
Maegashira 5 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 5 West
↔
Maegashira 5 West
The 7-8 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 5 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
7 – 8 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 5 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
S
SH
Maegashira 6 East
↓
Maegashira 11 East
5 – 10
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 6 East
↓
Maegashira 11 East
The 5-10 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 11 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
5 – 10 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 11 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
F
FU
Maegashira 6 West
↓
Maegashira 7 East
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 6 West
↓
Maegashira 7 East
The 7-8 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 7 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
7 – 8 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 7 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
K
KO
Maegashira 7 East
↑
Maegashira 2 East
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 7 East
↑
Maegashira 2 East
The 11-4 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 2 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
11 – 4 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 2 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
T
TA
Maegashira 7 West
↑
Maegashira 2 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 7 West
↑
Maegashira 2 West
The 11-4 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 2 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
11 – 4 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 2 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
W
WA
Maegashira 8 East
↓
Maegashira 12 East
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 8 East
↓
Maegashira 12 East
The 6-9 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 12 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
6 – 9 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 12 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
R
RO
Maegashira 8 West
↑
Maegashira 5 East
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 8 West
↑
Maegashira 5 East
The 9-6 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 5 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
9 – 6 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 5 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
F
FU
Maegashira 9 East
↑
Maegashira 4 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 9 East
↑
Maegashira 4 West
The 10-5 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 4 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
10 – 5 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 4 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
T
TO
Maegashira 9 West
↓
Maegashira 14 East
5 – 10
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 9 West
↓
Maegashira 14 East
The 5-10 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 14 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
5 – 10 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 14 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
A
AS
Maegashira 10 East
↑
Maegashira 6 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 10 East
↑
Maegashira 6 West
The 9-6 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 6 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
9 – 6 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 6 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
C
CH
Maegashira 10 West
↓
Maegashira 14 West
5 – 10
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 10 West
↓
Maegashira 14 West
The 5-10 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 14 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
5 – 10 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 14 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
W
WA
Maegashira 11 East
↓
Maegashira 16 West
5 – 2 – 8
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 11 East
↓
Maegashira 16 West
The 5-2-8 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 16 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
5 – 2 – 8 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 16 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
M
MI
Maegashira 11 West
↓
Juryo 3 East
2 – 13
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 11 West
↓
Juryo 3 East
The 2-13 record creates demotion pressure. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Juryo 3 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
2 – 13 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 3 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
A
AS
Maegashira 12 East
↓
Maegashira 13 East
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 12 East
↓
Maegashira 13 East
The 7-8 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 13 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
7 – 8 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 13 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
A
AB
Maegashira 12 West
↓
Maegashira 13 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 12 West
↓
Maegashira 13 West
The 7-8 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 13 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
7 – 8 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 13 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
N
NI
Maegashira 13 East
↑
Maegashira 8 East
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 13 East
↑
Maegashira 8 East
The 10-5 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 8 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
10 – 5 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 8 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
T
TA
Maegashira 13 West
↑
Maegashira 8 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 13 West
↑
Maegashira 8 West
The 10-5 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 8 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
10 – 5 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 8 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
K
KI
Maegashira 14 East
↑
Maegashira 11 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 14 East
↑
Maegashira 11 West
The 9-6 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 11 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
9 – 6 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 11 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
S
SH
Maegashira 14 West
↑
Maegashira 10 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 14 West
↑
Maegashira 10 West
The 10-5 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 10 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
10 – 5 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 10 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
O
ON
Maegashira 15 East
↓
Juryo 3 West
4 – 11
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 15 East
↓
Juryo 3 West
The 4-11 record creates demotion pressure. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Juryo 3 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
4 – 11 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 3 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
K
KA
Maegashira 15 West
↓
Juryo 2 East
5 – 10
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 15 West
↓
Juryo 2 East
The 5-10 record creates demotion pressure. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Juryo 2 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
5 – 10 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 2 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
D
DA
Maegashira 16 East
↓
Juryo 1 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 16 East
↓
Juryo 1 West
The 6-9 record creates demotion pressure. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Juryo 1 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
6 – 9 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 1 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
A
AS
Maegashira 16 West
↑
Maegashira 12 West
If the basho ended now
Maegashira 16 West
↑
Maegashira 12 West
The 9-6 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Maegashira 12 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
9 – 6 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 12 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
十
Second division
Juryo
28 wrestlers
A
AS
Juryo 1 East
↑
Maegashira 15 East
10 – 4 – 1
Kachi-koshi secured
If the basho ended now
Juryo 1 East
↑
Maegashira 15 East
The 10-4-1 record creates a promotion claim. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Maegashira 15 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
10 – 4 – 1 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 15 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
K
KY
Juryo 1 West
↓
Juryo 2 West
7 – 7 – 1
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Juryo 1 West
↓
Juryo 2 West
The 7-7-1 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 2 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
7 – 7 – 1 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 2 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
T
TO
Juryo 2 East
↑
Maegashira 16 East
10 – 4 – 1
Kachi-koshi secured
If the basho ended now
Juryo 2 East
↑
Maegashira 16 East
The 10-4-1 record creates a promotion claim. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Maegashira 16 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
10 – 4 – 1 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 16 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
S
SA
Juryo 2 West
↓
Juryo 7 West
4 – 9 – 2
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Juryo 2 West
↓
Juryo 7 West
The 4-9-2 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 7 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
4 – 9 – 2 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 7 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
R
RY
Juryo 3 East
↓
Juryo 8 West
4 – 10 – 1
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Juryo 3 East
↓
Juryo 8 West
The 4-10-1 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 8 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
4 – 10 – 1 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 8 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
D
DE
Juryo 3 West
↑
Juryo 1 East
9 – 5 – 1
Kachi-koshi secured
If the basho ended now
Juryo 3 West
↑
Juryo 1 East
The 9-5-1 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 1 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
9 – 5 – 1 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 1 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
T
TO
Juryo 4 East
↓
Juryo 7 East
5 – 9 – 1
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Juryo 4 East
↓
Juryo 7 East
The 5-9-1 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 7 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
5 – 9 – 1 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 7 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
T
TO
Juryo 4 West
↑
Maegashira 15 West
If the basho ended now
Juryo 4 West
↑
Maegashira 15 West
The 11-4 record creates a promotion claim. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Maegashira 15 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
11 – 4 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 15 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
K
KI
Juryo 5 East
↔
Juryo 5 West
If the basho ended now
Juryo 5 East
↔
Juryo 5 West
The 7-8 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 5 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
7 – 8 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 5 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
O
OS
Juryo 5 West
↓
Makushita 6 East
0 – 5 – 10
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Juryo 5 West
↓
Makushita 6 East
The 0-5-10 record creates demotion pressure. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Makushita 6 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
0 – 5 – 10 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Makushita 6 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
S
SH
Juryo 6 East
↑
Maegashira 17 East
If the basho ended now
Juryo 6 East
↑
Maegashira 17 East
The 11-4 record creates a promotion claim. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Maegashira 17 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
11 – 4 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Maegashira 17 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
K
KA
Juryo 6 West
↑
Juryo 4 West
If the basho ended now
Juryo 6 West
↑
Juryo 4 West
The 8-7 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 4 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
8 – 7 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 4 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
T
TA
Juryo 7 East
↑
Juryo 4 East
If the basho ended now
Juryo 7 East
↑
Juryo 4 East
The 9-6 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 4 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
9 – 6 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 4 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
M
ME
Juryo 7 West
↓
Juryo 12 East
4 – 11
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Juryo 7 West
↓
Juryo 12 East
The 4-11 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 12 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
4 – 11 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 12 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
M
MI
Juryo 8 East
↑
Juryo 6 West
If the basho ended now
Juryo 8 East
↑
Juryo 6 West
The 8-7 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 6 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
8 – 7 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 6 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
H
HA
Juryo 8 West
↔
Juryo 8 East
If the basho ended now
Juryo 8 West
↔
Juryo 8 East
The 7-8 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 8 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
7 – 8 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 8 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
S
SH
Juryo 9 East
↑
Juryo 5 East
If the basho ended now
Juryo 9 East
↑
Juryo 5 East
The 9-6 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 5 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
9 – 6 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 5 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
N
NI
Juryo 9 West
↓
Juryo 14 East
4 – 11
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Juryo 9 West
↓
Juryo 14 East
The 4-11 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 14 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
4 – 11 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 14 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
H
HI
Juryo 10 East
↓
Juryo 11 East
If the basho ended now
Juryo 10 East
↓
Juryo 11 East
The 6-9 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 11 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
6 – 9 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 11 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
T
TA
Juryo 10 West
↓
Juryo 11 West
If the basho ended now
Juryo 10 West
↓
Juryo 11 West
The 6-9 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 11 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
6 – 9 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 11 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
K
KA
Juryo 11 East
↑
Juryo 10 East
If the basho ended now
Juryo 11 East
↑
Juryo 10 East
The 7-8 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 10 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
7 – 8 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 10 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
E
EN
Juryo 11 West
↑
Juryo 9 East
If the basho ended now
Juryo 11 West
↑
Juryo 9 East
The 8-7 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 9 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
8 – 7 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 9 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
T
TO
Juryo 12 East
↑
Juryo 9 West
If the basho ended now
Juryo 12 East
↑
Juryo 9 West
The 8-7 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 9 West.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
8 – 7 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 9 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
K
KA
Juryo 12 West
↑
Juryo 10 West
If the basho ended now
Juryo 12 West
↑
Juryo 10 West
The 7-8 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 10 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
7 – 8 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 10 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
A
AR
Juryo 13 East
↑
Juryo 6 East
If the basho ended now
Juryo 13 East
↑
Juryo 6 East
The 11-4 record creates a promotion claim. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 6 East.
Record pressure
Kachi-koshi secured
11 – 4 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 6 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
H
HA
Juryo 13 West
↓
Makushita 14 East
0 – 0 – 15
Make-koshi confirmed
If the basho ended now
Juryo 13 West
↓
Makushita 14 East
The 0-0-15 record creates demotion pressure. The full field leaves a place across the division line at Makushita 14 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
0 – 0 – 15 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Makushita 14 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
T
TO
Juryo 14 East
↑
Juryo 13 East
If the basho ended now
Juryo 14 East
↑
Juryo 13 East
The 7-8 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 13 East.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
7 – 8 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 13 East
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
N
NI
Juryo 14 West
↑
Juryo 13 West
If the basho ended now
Juryo 14 West
↑
Juryo 13 West
The 7-8 record creates demotion pressure. After every competing claim is placed, the available position is Juryo 13 West.
Record pressure
Make-koshi confirmed
7 – 8 through 15 scheduled bouts.
The final record is in. The remaining uncertainty comes from how the full banzuke fits together.
Possible range
Juryo 13 West
Every remaining-record path currently points to the same rank outcome.
No wrestlers match that filter.
Method How the current model works
What this forecast knows
The model first gives each wrestler a claim based on his starting rank and record. It then assembles one complete banzuke, resolves competing promotion cases, and prevents two wrestlers from occupying the same East or West slot.
Claim Record, starting rank, absences, kadoban, and multi-basho promotion cases.
Place One whole-board allocator with fixed division sizes and unique East and West slots.
Grade The frozen forecast is measured against the next official banzuke.
Actual rankings are decided by the Japan Sumo Association. SumoNerd freezes its final forecast so the next official banzuke can grade it honestly.